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2024-12-13 04:51:37

The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)Market participants: In 2025, the steel industry may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. At the 2025 China steel market prospect and the annual meeting of "My Steel", whether the profit space of steel enterprises can be enlarged in 2025, whether the supply-side capacity will be withdrawn in an orderly manner, and what factors should be relied on for the long-term development of enterprises have become the minds of many participants. The industry believes that the survival pressure of steel enterprises may be eased in 2025. The upstream supply of iron ore, coke and coking coal will reduce their prices, and the cost of steel enterprises will fall. The market may deduce the upstream profit-making logic. Market participants said that although steel prices are still expected to decline in 2025, the profit margin of steel enterprises may increase. (SSE)Ferrous lithium phosphate has strong demand, so it is hard to hide the embarrassment of "meager profit" because the orders of enterprises are full. In December, the Ferrous lithium phosphate market continued to heat up, and most enterprises had full orders. However, contrary to the fiery market, it is still difficult for most enterprises to reverse the "meager profit" situation. "From the market situation, the growth in demand for new energy vehicles and energy storage markets has promoted the warming of the Ferrous lithium phosphate market. Most Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises are affected by factors such as rising raw material prices, weak bargaining power of products and fierce competition in the industry, resulting in pressure on profits. " Yu Xiaoming, a senior investment consultant of Shaanxi Jufeng Investment Information Co., Ltd., said that in the long run, with the technological progress and market expansion, the profitability of Ferrous lithium phosphate enterprises is expected to improve. (Securities Daily)


On December 11th, the top 20 in US stock turnover: Tesla reached a new high, with Musk's net worth exceeding 400 billion US dollars. On Wednesday, Tesla, the first in US stock turnover, closed up 5.93%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 42.296 billion US dollars. The CEO of the company, Musk, became the first person in the world with a net worth of more than 400 billion US dollars, setting a new milestone for the richest man in the world. It is reported that the latest catalyst is SpaceX's internal stock sale transaction and Tesla's share price hit a new high, which increased Musk's net asset value by about 50 billion US dollars to 439.2 billion US dollars. (Global Market Broadcast)Six members of the ruling party of South Korean President Yin Xiyue supported the impeachment of the president.The Swiss National Bank sharply cut interest rates by 50 basis points, and the Swiss National Bank lowered the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.50%, which is the fourth consecutive interest rate cut. The market generally expects to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.


Most ETFs in the US stock market closed up, with semiconductor ETFs rising by over 2.4%, Broadcom by over 6.6% and NVIDIA by over 3.1%. On Wednesday (December 11th), semiconductor ETFs closed up by 2.45%, Internet stock index ETF rose by over 2%, global aviation ETF, optional consumer ETF, technology industry ETF and global technology stock index ETF rose by 1.81%-1.17%. Semiconductor concept stocks rose almost across the board, Broadcom rose by 6.63%, NVIDIA Double Long ETF rose by more than 6.1%, Laidisi Semiconductor rose by more than 5.9%, NVIDIA rose by 3.14%, while Intel, Cisco, stmicroelectronics ADR and Chipscreen fell by 0.2%-0.65%.Front page of securities daily: vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of current macro policy. The front page article of securities daily points out that consumption is the ballast stone for stable economic operation. In recent years, China has issued a series of policies to promote consumption, which has brought vitality to the consumer market; The rapid development of some emerging consumption patterns has brought new growth points to the consumer market. However, we must also see that residents' consumer confidence still needs to be enhanced. Therefore, it is necessary to take multiple measures simultaneously, constantly consolidate the foundation of consumption growth, enhance residents' willingness and ability to consume, and promote the sustained recovery of the consumer market. First, increase residents' income through multiple channels and improve their spending power. Income is the primary factor that determines consumption. With income, residents have the confidence to spend. Therefore, on the one hand, it is necessary to increase residents' property income through multiple channels and enhance residents' consumption ability and willingness; On the other hand, it is necessary to increase support for key groups and enhance the overall consumption capacity. Second, further support the trade-in of consumer goods. Third, promote the upgrading and expansion of service consumption.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.

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